Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.642234 0.727994 0.819434 0.924021 1.040160 1.164999 1.309164
2025-08-31 0.506604 0.624833 0.760182 0.925888 1.122532 1.347649 1.624035
2025-09-07 0.416866 0.556161 0.726413 0.948075 1.227109 1.564616 2.001398
2025-09-14 0.336754 0.484504 0.676686 0.941729 1.293997 1.741884 2.349475
2025-09-21 0.282392 0.436023 0.647718 0.955419 1.384848 1.955543 2.762356
2025-09-28 0.231515 0.383004 0.603724 0.941030 1.433907 2.116410 3.118601
2025-10-05 0.205010 0.360783 0.599267 0.980078 1.559090 2.389570 3.648888
2025-10-12 0.182681 0.340926 0.594763 1.016991 1.682893 2.669101 4.208631
2025-10-19 0.158389 0.313441 0.573912 1.024859 1.761709 2.887079 4.693115
2025-10-26 0.137383 0.287849 0.552144 1.027532 1.830787 3.093452 5.172630
2025-11-02 0.119624 0.264963 0.531483 1.028687 1.895855 3.296345 5.658407
2025-11-09 0.104579 0.244547 0.512137 1.029101 1.958268 3.497596 6.152708
2025-11-16 0.092125 0.227414 0.496956 1.035861 2.033217 3.726624 6.711010
2025-11-23 0.079736 0.208114 0.474892 1.027084 2.079424 3.910402 7.206596
2025-11-30 0.071638 0.196808 0.467105 1.044374 2.173767 4.182006 7.865960
2025-12-07 0.062117 0.180302 0.446167 1.033037 2.213196 4.359676 8.374554
2025-12-14 0.055726 0.170149 0.437342 1.045032 2.297566 4.622065 9.045594
2025-12-21 0.048116 0.155266 0.415800 1.027667 2.322389 4.777019 9.533888
2025-12-28 0.045161 0.152274 0.421155 1.068665 2.467041 5.162227 10.458752
2026-01-04 0.042327 0.149058 0.425500 1.107706 2.610436 5.553151 11.414269
2026-01-11 0.038112 0.140916 0.416630 1.115686 2.689334 5.824901 12.162030
2026-01-18 0.034124 0.132563 0.405997 1.118246 2.756508 6.077244 12.885677
2026-01-25 0.030534 0.124634 0.395282 1.119285 2.820083 6.325618 13.613769